Papal conclaves are rare but significant events. Polymarket offers prediction markets on who will become the next pope.
Next Pope Markets
When a papal transition approaches, Polymarket offers markets on:
- Next pope: Individual cardinals as candidates
- Region: Will the next pope be from Europe, Americas, Africa?
- Age: Over/under age thresholds
- Timing: When will a new pope be elected?
Market Favorites
Leading candidates often include cardinals known for:
- Administrative experience in the Vatican
- Theological influence
- Regional representation
- Age (typically 60-75 at election)
Trading Pope Markets
- Low liquidity: Pope markets can be thin until a conclave is imminent
- Information advantage: Vatican watchers may have better insight
- Long timeframes: Markets may exist for years before resolution
Track Religious Markets with Alphascope
Alphascope aggregates prediction markets:
- Predictions → All event markets
- News → News affecting odds