Election Betting Odds

Live prediction market odds for US and global elections. Presidential races, Senate seats, congressional outcomes, and political events — updated in real time from Polymarket and Kalshi.

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

kalshi
20%
Yes

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

polymarket
6%
Yes

What will Trump say this week?

kalshi
1%
Yes

Texas Republican Senate nominee?

kalshi
65%
Yes

IL-09 Democratic nominee?

kalshi
55%
Yes

Illinois Democratic Senate nominee?

kalshi
52%
Yes

What will Trump say during the State of the Union?

kalshi
80%
Yes

Trump's approval rating on Feb 20, 2026?

kalshi
18%
Yes

2028 Democratic VP nominee

kalshi
15%
Yes

Which parties will lose seats in Japanese snap election?

polymarket
3%
Yes

Guinea-Bissau National People's Assembly Election Winner

polymarket
22%
Yes

Turnout in Texas Republican Senate Primary First Round

polymarket
44%
Yes

What will Trump say during the announcement on February 5?

polymarket
58%
Yes

Will anyone win outright in the Costa Rica Presidential election?

kalshi
71%
Yes

Who will Trump talk to in January?

polymarket
100%
Yes

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

kalshi
47%
Yes

TrumpRX launched by January 31, 2026?

polymarket
1%
Yes

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

kalshi
73%
Yes

Brazil Presidential Election

polymarket
60%
Yes

What will Trump say during his announcement?

kalshi
96%
Yes

What will Trump say during his Cabinet Meeting?

kalshi
99%
Yes

Chicago mayoral election winner? (2027)

kalshi
18%
Yes

Who will Trump talk to in January?

kalshi
92%
Yes

What day will Trump announce Fed Chair nominee?

polymarket
52%
Yes

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

polymarket
66%
Yes

What will Trump say during remarks on January 28?

polymarket
20%
Yes

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

polymarket
58%
Yes

Who will Trump shake hands with at Davos?

polymarket
11%
Yes

Trump approval rating on January 23?

polymarket
41%
Yes

Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by...?

polymarket
85%
Yes

Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit __ by March 31?

polymarket
35%
Yes

Who will Trump meet with in January?

polymarket
95%
Yes

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

polymarket
3%
Yes

Trump out as President before 2027?

polymarket
8%
Yes

Portugal Presidential election winner?

kalshi
78%
Yes

Portugal Presidential Election

polymarket
87%
Yes

Portugal Presidential Election: 1st Round Winner

polymarket
32%
Yes

Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?

polymarket
28%
Yes

What will Trump say during the Kennedy Center Honors?

kalshi
98%
Yes

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

polymarket
100%
Yes

Will Trump release any of the Epstein Files?

kalshi
93%
Yes

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

kalshi
32%
Yes

Who will qualify for the second round of the Portugal Presidential Election?

polymarket
74%
Yes

Will Trump publicly comment on Bad Bunny again this year?

kalshi
32%
Yes

Chile Presidential Election

polymarket
84%
Yes

Will Trump meet with Putin again by...?

polymarket
2%
Yes

Deportations in Trump's first year?

kalshi
99%
Yes

Texas Republican Senate Primary Winner

polymarket
64%
Yes

Paris Mayoral Election

polymarket
54%
Yes

What will Trump say in December?

kalshi
94%
Yes

How many Gold Cards will Trump sell in 2025?

polymarket
45%
Yes

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