It may be a holiday week, but there's no break in the election calendar as a number of important primaries will be decided in Texas Tuesday. These are top-two runoffs from the March 3 statewide primary where no candidate received a majority of the vote.
In this article, we provide an overview and vote totals for the most impactful runoffs. The remaining results - for U.S. House and State Legislature - can be found here.
Polls close at 8:00 PM Eastern Time, except 9:00 PM in areas of extreme West Texas that observe Mountain Time. For statewide races, no winners will be projected before the final polls close. However, the prediction markets may provide an early indication of where things are heading.
270toWin has partnered with Kalshi to show relevant prediction market content on the site and alongside live results through the 2026 midterm elections.
U.S. Senate
Some of the suspense around this runoff evaporated last week when Donald Trump endorsed Attorney General Ken Paxton over four-term Sen. John Cornyn. As recent primaries in Indiana, Louisiana, and Kentucky have shown, the president's preference still carries significant weight with GOP primary voters.
Despite trailing in most polls heading into the March 3 primary, Cornyn finished first with 42% of the vote to 40.5% for Paxton. Rep. Wesley Hunt (TX-38), appealing to a similar bloc of conservative voters, received 14%. Hunt followed Trump with his own backing of Paxton.
Cornyn has not backed down in the final week of the runoff, leaning into the argument that he is the more electable general election candidate. Paxton has faced — and survived — numerous controversies over the years, vulnerabilities Democrats would be eager to exploit in what would be an extraordinarily expensive general election campaign. The prospect of having to spend heavily in a race that would otherwise be less competitive is one reason many party leaders have sided with Cornyn.
Prediction Market
U.S. House
Redistricting enacted last year added several more GOP leaning seats. A side effect is that it has further reduced the number of competitive general election U.S. House races in the Lone Star State. That means most of the action takes place in the primaries.
There are 17 U.S. House primary runoffs. The seven on this page have the most general election relevance. In five cases, the nominee will be a heavy general election favorite. In District 35, there are runoffs in both parties for a Republican leaning but somewhat competitive seat. The winners of the other 10 runoffs will be decided underdogs in November.
Numbers (in parentheses) displayed after names are vote percentages in the March 3 primary.
District 9 (R)
This formerly deep blue district was made much more conservative in redistricting. As a result, Democrat Al Green chose to run in District 18. Transit board member Alex Mealer (36%) and state Rep. Briscoe Cain (31%) advanced from a nine-candidate primary field.
A University of Houston poll conducted earlier this month gave Mealer a 50% to 41% lead.
Prediction Market
District 18 (D)
Redistricting forced a member vs. member primary for this deep blue Houston seat. 11-term Rep. Al Green (TX-09) filed to run here against Christian Menefee, who recently won the pre-redistricted version of this district in a special election. In a four-candidate primary, Menefee narrowly outpolled Green by 46% to 44%. With two incumbents in the runoff, one is guaranteed to lose their seat.
A University of Houston poll conducted earlier this month showed Menefee with 50% support vs. 43% for Green.
Prediction Market
District 19 (R)
Republican Jodey Arrington is retiring after five terms. Basically unchanged in redistricting, this is one of the most Republican districts in the state. Businessman Tom Sell (40%) and Abraham Enriquez (19%) advanced from the seven-candidate primary field. Enriquez founded a conservative organization that seeks to empower Hispanics.
Prediction Market
District 33 (D)
District 32 incumbent Democrat Julie Johnson filed to run here after the district was made uncompetitive for her party in redistricting. She drew a late challenge from her predecessor, Colin Allred after he dropped out of the race for U.S. Senate.
Allred (44%) and Johnson (33%) advanced from a four-candidate primary field.
Prediction Market
District 35 (Both)
While this South Texas district was shifted dramatically to the right in redistricting, it is not completely off the radar for Democrats in November. However, Greg Casar, the current incumbent, shifted to run in District 37, a much safer perch from which to continue his congressional career.
Republican Runoff
State Rep. John Lujan (33%) and businessman Carlos de la Cruz (27%) advanced from an 11 candidate primary. De la Cruz is the brother of Rep. Monica de la Cruz (TX-15) and has been endorsed by Trump.
Prediction Market
Democratic Runoff
For the Democrats, therapist Maureen Galindo (29%) and Bexar County Sheriff's Deputy Johnny Garcia (27%) advanced from the four-candidate primary. Galindo has since received considerable attention over antisemitic remarks she has made. Party support has coalesced around Garcia, while Republicans are meddling in the hopes of getting Galindo across the finish line.
Prediction Market
District 38 (R)
Wesley Hunt made an unsuccessful bid for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate. Mortgage broker Jon Bonck (47%) finished just short of an outright primary win on March 3. Businesswoman Shelly deZevallos (18%) finished second in the ten-candidate field.
Prediction Market
Texas Statewide Offices
Numbers (in parentheses) displayed after names are vote percentages in the March 3 primary.
Attorney General (Both)
While there are runoffs in both parties, the Republican one is of most interest, as the nominee will be favored to succeed Ken Paxton, who is running for U.S. Senate.
Republican Runoff
State Sen. Mayes Middleton (39%) and TX-21 Rep. Chip Roy (32%) advanced to the runoff. Middleton led by 48% to 39% in a late April poll conducted by the University of Houston.
Prediction Market
Democratic Runoff
State Sen. Nathan Johnson (48%) narrowly missed an outright win on March 3. He is opposed by former Galveston Mayor Joe Jaworski (26%).
Lieutenant Governor (D)
In Texas, the lieutenant governor is elected separately from the governor. Republican Dan Patrick was easily renominated for a 4th term.
Three candidates competed for the Democratic nomination, with state Rep. Vikki Goodwin (48%) and union representative Marcos Velez (32%) making the runoff.
Goodwin seems more likely to advance. Early polling for the general election has shown Patrick ahead by mid-single digits.
Railroad Commissioner (R)
Jim Wright is seeking a second six-year term. He drew four primary challengers and narrowly won the primary over former Tarrant County GOP chair Bo French. The two were separated by about 7,000 votes, or 32.1% to 31.7%.
A University of Houston poll of the runoff has Wright ahead by 35% to 28%.
There are three seats on the Commission; one seat is up every two years.
Judicial
Court of Criminal Appeals Place 3 (R)
The Court of Criminal Appeals is the highest court for criminal matters in Texas. There are nine positions, all held by Republicans. Judges serve six-year terms. In 2026, elections will be held for Places 3, 4, and 9.
Incumbent judge Bert Richardson is retiring. Alison Fox (31.3%) and Thomas Smith (30.7%) advanced to the runoff.
Calendar
2026 State Primaries >
June 2
California
Iowa
Montana
New Jersey
New Mexico
South Dakota
June 9
Maine
Nevada
North Dakota
South Carolina
June 16
Alabama (Runoffs)
District of Columbia
Georgia (Runoffs)
Oklahoma
Other Scheduled Elections
June 2
California Mayoral Primaries*: Chula Vista, Long Beach, Los Angeles
June 9
Nevada Mayoral Primaries*: Henderson, North Las Vegas, Reno
June 16
District of Columbia Mayoral Primary
Congressional Special Elections
June 2
California District 1 (Primary)*
Special Election (if needed) August 4
June 16
California District 14 (Primary)*
Special Election (if needed) August 18
July 28
Georgia District 13*
Runoff (if needed) August 25
Date TBA
Florida District 20
Texas District 23*
State Legislative Special Elections
June 2
Arkansas House 44 (Primary)
June 9
Maine House District 29
* All candidates compete on the same ballot. If one gets a majority, they are elected. Otherwise, the top two finishers advance to another election that will determine the winner.
