Presidential debates are major events that can shift election odds. Polymarket offers prediction markets on debate outcomes and their effects.
Debate Markets
- Debate winner: Who will be perceived as winning
- Post-debate polling: Will candidate lead in next poll
- Specific moments: Will candidate say X
- Viewership: Total debate viewers
Trading Debate Markets
Tips for debate prediction markets:
- Subjective outcomes: "Winning" a debate is perception-based
- Fast-moving: Prices shift rapidly during debates
- Post-debate reaction: Initial takes may not match final narrative
How Debates Move Election Odds
Historically, debates can shift election odds by several points, especially if there's a clear winner or major gaffe. Most debates have modest effects.
Track Debate Markets with Alphascope
Alphascope aggregates election markets:
- Predictions → All election markets including debates
- News → Debate news and analysis