The identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin's creator, remains one of crypto's biggest mysteries. Polymarket offers prediction markets on potential reveals.
Satoshi Identity Markets
- Will identity be revealed? By specific date
- Specific candidates: Various people claimed as Satoshi
- Coin movement: Will early Bitcoin wallets move
Commonly Discussed Candidates
Prediction markets have featured odds on:
- Hal Finney (deceased early Bitcoin developer)
- Nick Szabo (cryptographer)
- Craig Wright (controversial claimant)
- Various tech figures and even public figures like Trump (very low odds)
Is Trump Satoshi?
Some novelty markets have asked if Donald Trump is Satoshi Nakamoto. These markets typically show very low probabilities (<1%) and are more entertainment than serious prediction.
Trading Satoshi Markets
- Long timeframes: May never resolve
- Low liquidity: Niche interest
- Resolution challenges: What counts as "revealed"?
Track Crypto Markets with Alphascope
Alphascope aggregates prediction markets:
- Predictions → All crypto markets
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