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ForecastEx is an exchange and clearinghouse for event-linked Forecast Contracts. Its official FAQ explains the product, while its broker directory identifies access routes. Reviewed November 8, 2026. Your broker determines the account interface and applicable customer terms.
Separate the exchange from the broker
When comparing prediction-market products, identify who lists and clears a contract, who maintains your account, and who provides your research interface. Those can be different organizations. A familiar app name does not establish that it lists an independent market or has different underlying odds.
Check the exact broker, account eligibility, supported contracts and total fee schedule. Alphascope is an independent research product; it does not open a ForecastEx brokerage account or submit orders.
How Forecast Contracts work
The official mechanics guide describes separate Yes and No contracts, prices between 1¢ and 99¢, and $1 settlement for a correct answer. Closing a position uses purchase of the opposite contract rather than a conventional sale. Read the broker’s order preview to see how that action is presented.
A contract’s price can be interpreted as a market-implied probability, but a quoted last trade is not necessarily available for your intended size. Compare the exact question, source agency, threshold and deadline before treating two venues’ contracts as equivalents.
A fictional exit example
Suppose you buy one Yes contract for 40¢ and later buy the opposite No for 70¢ to close. Before fees and coupons, your combined cost is $1.10 against $1 returned from the paired position: a 10¢ loss. If each transaction costs an additional fictional 1¢, the loss becomes 12¢. This is an arithmetic illustration, not an order quote or a statement of your broker’s total fee.
Coupons do not erase trading losses
ForecastEx’s FAQ describes monthly incentive coupons passed to members based on invested collateral and daily closing values. It says members may share those earnings with customers. Check your broker’s actual pass-through terms; do not assume an exchange-level statement guarantees a particular customer rate.
In your performance record, separate trading gains and losses, transaction costs, and coupon credits. A small coupon can coexist with a much larger loss on the contract. Our Kalshi APY guide illustrates the broader distinction between annualized interest and trading profit.
For the broader context, explore our history of prediction markets and the evolution of contract design.
For a concrete economic-data example, read our Polymarket CPI contract guide before comparing inflation markets across venues.
A comparison worksheet
| Item | What to compare |
|---|---|
| Question | Same threshold, event definition and time window? |
| Resolution | Same agency, revisions policy and exceptional cases? |
| Execution | Executable quote and sufficient size? |
| Exit | Opposite-contract cost and order mechanics? |
| Total return | All fees plus any actual customer coupon terms? |
Use our expected-value guide to connect your own probability estimate with the offered price. Alphascope forecast research can help investigate the event; it does not establish a tradable arbitrage or guarantee a return.