Blog

Prediction Market Guides & Analysis

Strategies and guides for trading prediction markets — from beginner tutorials to advanced trading workflows.

How to File Prediction Market Taxes: Kalshi 1099s, Polymarket, and IRS Rules
Taxes & Legal·8 min

How to File Prediction Market Taxes: Kalshi 1099s, Polymarket, and IRS Rules

Step-by-step guide to filing prediction market taxes. Covers Kalshi 1099 forms, Polymarket self-reporting, capital gains treatment, and what the IRS expects.

Mar 1, 2026

Best Polymarket Whale Trackers in 2026: Find and Copy Top Wallets
Trading·6 min

Best Polymarket Whale Trackers in 2026: Find and Copy Top Wallets

Review of the best Polymarket whale tracking tools. Learn how to find top traders, analyze wallet activity, and use whale signals for your own trading.

Mar 1, 2026

Prediction Market Insider Trading: CFTC Rules and What Traders Need to Know
Legal & Compliance·7 min

Prediction Market Insider Trading: CFTC Rules and What Traders Need to Know

What counts as insider trading on prediction markets? Learn about CFTC enforcement, Kalshi's rules, Polymarket's policies, and how to stay compliant.

Mar 1, 2026

How to Hedge Your Portfolio with Prediction Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket
Trading·7 min

How to Hedge Your Portfolio with Prediction Markets on Kalshi and Polymarket

Learn how to use prediction markets to hedge against elections, rate changes, tariffs, and recessions. Practical strategies for Kalshi and Polymarket.

Mar 1, 2026

Kalshi Weather Markets: How to Trade Temperature, Hurricanes, and Climate Events
Markets·6 min

Kalshi Weather Markets: How to Trade Temperature, Hurricanes, and Climate Events

Guide to Kalshi weather prediction markets. Learn how temperature, hurricane, and precipitation markets work, what drives prices, and trading strategies.

Mar 1, 2026

Prediction Market Resolution Disputes: How Kalshi and Polymarket Settle Markets
Education·7 min

Prediction Market Resolution Disputes: How Kalshi and Polymarket Settle Markets

How prediction market disputes get resolved. Covers Kalshi's CFTC-regulated process, Polymarket's resolution committee, famous disputes, and how to protect yourself.

Mar 1, 2026

How to Build a Polymarket Trading Bot: Python Tutorial with the CLOB API
Guides·8 min

How to Build a Polymarket Trading Bot: Python Tutorial with the CLOB API

Step-by-step guide to building a Polymarket trading bot in Python. Covers CLOB API setup, authentication, fetching markets, placing orders, and risk management.

Mar 1, 2026

Kalshi State Restrictions: Where Prediction Markets Are Legal in 2026
Legal & Compliance·6 min

Kalshi State Restrictions: Where Prediction Markets Are Legal in 2026

State-by-state guide to Kalshi availability. Which states restrict prediction market trading, why, and what you can do if you're in a restricted state.

Mar 1, 2026

Do Prediction Markets Qualify for Section 1256 Tax Treatment?
Taxes & Legal·7 min

Do Prediction Markets Qualify for Section 1256 Tax Treatment?

Analysis of whether Kalshi event contracts qualify for Section 1256 60/40 capital gains treatment. What traders need to know about favorable tax rates.

Mar 1, 2026

Kalshi vs Metaculus: Real Money vs Reputation-Based Prediction Markets
Comparisons·6 min

Kalshi vs Metaculus: Real Money vs Reputation-Based Prediction Markets

Compare Kalshi and Metaculus prediction platforms. Real money trading vs reputation forecasting, accuracy records, and which is better for different use cases.

Mar 1, 2026

AI Prediction Market Trading: How Bots and LLMs Are Changing the Game
Trading·7 min

AI Prediction Market Trading: How Bots and LLMs Are Changing the Game

How AI and LLMs are used in prediction market trading. Covers AI bots, probability estimation, sentiment analysis, and strategies for AI-assisted trading on Kalshi and Polymarket.

Mar 1, 2026

Entertainment Prediction Markets: How to Trade Oscars, Grammys, and Box Office Odds
Entertainment·6 min

Entertainment Prediction Markets: How to Trade Oscars, Grammys, and Box Office Odds

Guide to entertainment prediction markets on Kalshi and Polymarket. Trade Oscars, Grammys, Emmys, box office, and reality TV outcomes.

Mar 1, 2026

How to Backtest Prediction Market Strategies: Tools, Data, and Analysis
Trading·7 min

How to Backtest Prediction Market Strategies: Tools, Data, and Analysis

Guide to backtesting prediction market trading strategies. Find historical data sources, testing frameworks, calibration analysis, and common pitfalls.

Mar 1, 2026

Kalshi Map: State-by-State Election Odds and How to Use Them
Markets·5 min

Kalshi Map: State-by-State Election Odds and How to Use Them

Kalshi's election map shows real-time odds for every swing state. Learn how to read it, find mispricings, and trade state-level markets.

Feb 1, 2026

Kalshi Polls: How Prediction Markets Compare to Traditional Polling
Markets·6 min

Kalshi Polls: How Prediction Markets Compare to Traditional Polling

Are Kalshi prediction markets more accurate than polls? Here's how they work, when they disagree, and how to use both for better forecasts.

Feb 1, 2026

Polymarket Trump: How to Trade Trump Prediction Markets
Markets·6 min

Polymarket Trump: How to Trade Trump Prediction Markets

Everything about Trump markets on Polymarket—election odds, policy predictions, how to read the prices, and trading strategies.

Feb 1, 2026

Kalshi Fees Explained: Trading, Deposit, and Withdrawal Costs
Platform·4 min

Kalshi Fees Explained: Trading, Deposit, and Withdrawal Costs

A complete breakdown of Kalshi fees—trading commissions, deposit costs, withdrawal fees, and how to minimize what you pay.

Feb 1, 2026

Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Prediction Market Is Better in 2026?
Platform·6 min

Polymarket vs Kalshi: Which Prediction Market Is Better in 2026?

A detailed comparison of Polymarket and Kalshi—regulation, liquidity, fees, markets, and which platform is right for you.

Feb 1, 2026

Kalshi Live Forecast: Real-Time Prediction Market Odds
Trading·5 min

Kalshi Live Forecast: Real-Time Prediction Market Odds

How to use Kalshi's live forecasts to track real-time odds on elections, Fed rates, economic data, and more—plus tools to find edge.

Feb 1, 2026

How Does Polymarket Work? Step-by-Step (2026)
Platform·7 min

How Does Polymarket Work? Step-by-Step (2026)

Polymarket explained in plain English for 2026: Yes/No shares, the order book, how prices move, fees, resolution, and a real example trade — everything you need to start.

Feb 1, 2026

What Is Polymarket? The Complete Guide for 2026
Platform·6 min

What Is Polymarket? The Complete Guide for 2026

Polymarket is a crypto-based prediction market where you trade on real-world events. Learn how it works, how to get started, and how to find edges.

Feb 1, 2026

How to Make Money on Kalshi: A Practical Guide for 2026
Trading·8 min

How to Make Money on Kalshi: A Practical Guide for 2026

Learn how to profit on Kalshi prediction markets using news-driven catalysts, cross-platform arbitrage, and AI-powered tools like Alphascope.

Feb 1, 2026

What is Kalshi? A Complete Guide to Event Contract Trading
Guides·8 min

What is Kalshi? A Complete Guide to Event Contract Trading

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market where you trade on real-world events. Learn how it works, what you can trade, and how to get started.

Jan 25, 2026

How Does Kalshi Work? A Step-by-Step Trading Guide
Guides·9 min

How Does Kalshi Work? A Step-by-Step Trading Guide

Learn how to trade on Kalshi from account setup to cashing out profits. Complete walkthrough of event contracts, pricing mechanics, and trading strategies.

Jan 25, 2026

Page 7 of 9 · 215 guides